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Электоральные настроения граждан: октябрь 2013

Electoral moods in Ukraine: October 2013

Date posted: 21.10.2013 Print Full version

According to results of the research conducted by the Sociological group "Rating" if elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine occurred in early October 2013, about 70% voters would participate in them. If presidential elections occurred in early October 2013, about 73% of voters would participate in them. The highest level of mobilization is recorded in the West (about 80%), the lowest - in Donbas and in the South (about 50%).

If elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine occurred in early October 2013, the Party of Regions would win. Thus, 23% of respondents (among those who would participate in elections) would vote for the Party of Regions, 22% - for Batkivshchyna, 18% - for UDAR, 9% - for the Communist Party, 7% - for Freedom. The rest of the parties - about 6%, undecided - 14%.

For correct comparison of parties’ ratings with results of the elections, the redistribution of "undecided" was held.

The results are: if elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine occurred in the end of February 2013, 27% of the voters would vote for the Party of Regions, 26% - for Batkivshchyna, 21% - for UDAR, 9% - for Freedom, 10% - for the CPU. Other parties - about 6%.

If elections of the President of Ukraine occurred in early October 2013, 24% of respondents (among those who would participate in elections) would support V. Yanukovych, 21% - Y. Tymoshenko, 19% - V. Klychko, 7% - P. Symonenko, 6% - O. Tiahnybok, 2% - P. Poroshenko. Other politicians - 5%, ​​undecided - 11%, "against all" - 4%.

If Y. Tymoshenko will not participate in elections, the three leaders are as follows: V. Yanukovych would be supported by 24% of respondents, V. Klychko – by 20%, A.Yatsenyuk – by 17%. In addition, 7% would support O. Tiahnybok, 7% - P. Symonenko, 3% - P. Poroshenko, other politicians - 5%, undecided - 12%, "against all" - 5%.

 

If V. Yanukovych and V. Klychko entered the second round, then 22% of respondents would support the current head of the state, 37% - the leader of the party UDAR, 12% - would not support any of the candidates, 11% - are undecided in their choice, 18% - would not participate in elections.

If V. Yanukovych and A. Yatsenyuk  entered the second round, then 23% of respondents would support the current head of the state, 30% - the leader of Batkivshchyna, 17% - would not support any of the candidates, 11% - are undecided in their choice, 19% - would not participate in elections.

If V. Yanukovych and Y. Tymoshenko entered the second round, then 24% of respondents would support the current president, 28% - the former prime minister and the leader of Batkivshchyna, 19% - would not support any of the candidates, 11% - are undecided in their choice, 18% - would not participate in elections.

If V. Yanukovych and O.Tiahnybok entered the second round, then 24% of respondents would support the current head of the state, 22% - the leader of Freedom, 23% - would not support any of the candidates, 11% - are undecided in their choice, 18% - would not participate in elections.

The target audience of the research: the population of Ukraine aged from 18 and older. Optional quantity: 2000 respondents. The methods of investigation: personal formalized interview according to the questionnaire (face to face). Margin of error for the values close to 50% is less than 2.2%, for the values close to 30% – less than 2%, for the values close to 10% – less than 1.3%. The period of completion: 26 of Semtember – 6 of October 2013

The oblast’ distribution:

West: Volyns’ka, Transcarpathia, Ivano–Frankivs’ka, L’vivs’ka, Rivnens’ka, Ternopil’s’ka, Chernivets’ka.
Centre: Vinnyts’ka, Kirovograds’ka, Poltavs’ka, Khmel’nyts’ka, Cherkas’ka.
North: Kyiv, Kyivs’ka, Zhytomyrs’ka, Sums’ka, Chernihivs’ka.
South: AR Crimea, Odes’ka, Khersons’ka, Mykolaivs’ka, Sevastopol
East: Dnipropetrovs’ka, Zaporiz’ka, Kharkivs’ka.
Donbass: Donets’ka, Luhans’ka.

Other research: